英国威廉希尔公司网站登录威廉希尔公司中国入口作为澳门资深的娱乐集团,为您提供高品质、高赔率、高人气的真人娱乐游戏投注及所有线上365bet亚洲官网投注的优惠,我们致力于提供全球客户最有价值的游戏! 第二，政策制定者应以支持受影响最严重的家庭和企业为目标 谢谢大家！ KeynoteSpeechbyIMFDeputyManagingDirector Dr．ZhangTaoattheLaunchoftheBFA2020 FlagshipReportSymposiumonAsianDevelopmentProspects andChallengesunderthePandemic （FullText） （May8，2020） Ladiesandgentlemen，itisarealpleasureformetojoinyoutodayfortheonlinelaunchoftheBoaoForum’sinauguralflagshipreportandthesymposiumon“AsianDevelopmentProspectsandChallengesUnderthePandemic．”IwouldliketothankViceChairmanMr．ZhouXiaochuan，DirectorandFormerDeputyPrimeMinisterMr．WongKanSengandSecretaryGeneralMr．LiBaodong，andalltheorganizersattheBoaoForum，aswellasallofyouwhoareparticipatingvirtuallyinthisimportantevent． IwasaskedtomakesomeremarksontheglobalandAsianeconomicoutlook，andIamgladtodoso．ButbeforeIbegin，Iwouldlikefirsttoacknowledgeandthankallthefrontlineworkers—doctors，nurses，andfirstresponders—whoareworkingsohardtokeepussafeastheworldcontinuestofighttheCOVID-19pandemic．Weowethematruedebtofgratitudeforthesacrificestheyaremaking． Letmemovetotheglobaloutlook． Thepandemicisinflictinghighandrisinghumancostsworldwide．Protectingliveshasrequiredlockdownsandwidespreadclosuresofactivitiestoslowthespreadofthevirus．Thehealthcrisisandtheassociatedlockdownsarealsohavingasevereimpactoneconomicactivity．Asaresultofthepandemic，ourlatestprojectionsshowtheglobaleconomycontractingsharplyby3percentin2020． Lookingatadvancedeconomies，economicgrowthasawholeisprojectedtobe-6.1percentin2020．Mostadvancedeconomiesareforecasttocontractthisyear，includingtheUnitedStates（-5.9percent），Japan（-5.2percent），theUnitedKingdom（-6.5percent），andGermany（-7.0percent）． Emergingmarketanddevelopingeconomiesalsofacearangeofchallenges，includingthehealthcrisis，asevereexternaldemandshock，adramatictighteninginglobalfinancialconditions，andplungingcommodityprices．Overall，theseeconomiesareprojectedtocontractby1.1percentin2020．IfChinaisexcludedfromthecalculation，thegrowthrateforthegroupofEMDEsisexpectedtobeevenworse，at-2.2percent． LetmeturntoAsia． Theimpactofthecoronavirusontheregionwillbesevere，acrosstheboard，andunprecedented．Indeed，weareforecastingthatAsia’seconomicgrowthwillcometoastandstillin2020．ThisisworsethantheGlobalFinancialCrisis，whengrowthslowedto4.7percent．ItisevenworsethantheAsianFinancialCrisis，whengrowthslowedto1.3percent．Infact，Asiahasnotexperiencedzerogrowthinthelast60years． Whyistheregionfacingsuchanunprecedentedslowdown？ Well，firstofall，unliketheglobalfinancialcrisis，Asia’srealsector—andespeciallytheservicesector—isbeinghithard．Second，unliketheAsianfinancialcrisis，theslowdownofexternaldemandoutsideAsiaismuchmoresevere．Third，increasingtradeintegration，asevidencedbytoday’shighlydevelopedsupplychains，meansthatproductionslowdownsinanyonecountrytransmitrapidlyandwidelytootherpartsoftheworld，andparticularlywithinAsia．Andasaresult，whilesomeAsiancountrieswerehitveryhardduringthepreviouscrisis，thedownturntodayismuchmorewidespread． Andmoreimportantly，thisunprecedentedoutlookissubjecttoanunprecedentedamountofuncertainty．Thismeansthattheextentoftheeconomicfalloutdependsonfactorsthatinteractinwaysthatarehardtopredict，includingthecourseofthepandemicandthecontainmentefforts．Butrisksofaworseoutcomepredominate． Forexample，thereisariskthatcontinuedcontainmenteffortsmaybeneedediftherearewavesofinfections．Thesewavescouldleadtoalongerandsharperdownturnthanthecurrentforecast． Otherexamplesincludelingeringuncertaintyaboutcontagion，confidencefailingtoimprove，andbusinessclosures，leadingtolonger-lastingsupply-chaindisruptionsandweaknessindemand． Now，whataboutthepolicyresponse？ Inshort，afullarsenalofpoliciesisneeded，giventheseverityoftheeconomicshock．Here，IwouldliketohighlightthefollowingpointsthatarerelevantforAsia’seconomies． First，policymakersmustensureadequatesupportandprotectioninthehealthcaresector—aswellasformeasuresthatslowcontagion． Second，policymakersshouldaimtotargetsupportforthehardest-hithouseholdsandfirms．Thesepoliciesneedtoprotectpeople，jobs，andindustriesdirectly，notjustthroughfinancialinstitutions．Policiesmustbecarefullycalibratedtoreduceinequality． Third，policiesshouldremainresponsiveandnimble．ManycountriesinAsiahavealreadyrespondedproactivelybymitigatingtheadverseeconomicimpactandbypositioningthemselvesstrategicallyforeconomicreopeningandrecovering．FacedwithtremendousuncertaintiesrelatedtothepandemicandtheheterogeneityofAsianeconomies，policiesalsoneedtobenimbleandadaptivetoachievetheirobjectivesmosteffectively． Inaddition，countriesshouldalsoseekandutilizebilateralandmultilateralswaplinesandfinancialsupportfrommultilateralinstitutionsinresponsetoexternalpressures，．Therecanalsobearoleforcapitalflowmeasurestosecureexternalsectorstability． Lastbutnotleast，strongglobalandregionalcooperationisneededtocomplementnationalefforts．Thevirusdoesnotrespectborders，andthiscrisisislikenoother．Nocountrycansucceedbyitself．Onlybyworkingtogetherandcooperatingonboththehealthandeconomicfronts，willwebeabletomoveforwardandhelptheglobalandAsianeconomiesgetbackontrack． Withtheseremarks，Igreatlylookforwardtoourdiscussiontoday，andwishgreatsuccesstotheBoaoForuminitslaunchoftheinauguralflagshipreportandthesymposium． Thankyou！ 市场人士普遍认为，资金利率仍将低位运行
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